Thursday 14 August 2014

Computer simulation says Broncos will get Super Bowl revenge on Seahawks

If you watched last season's Super Bowl, you'd have a hard time believing the Denver Broncos could beat the Seattle Seahawks. Well, PredictionMachine.com apparently didn't watch that game.


PredictionMachine.com has simulated the NFL season 50,000 times to determine who the "Predictalator" says will lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy at season's end. Despite the Seahawks' 43-8 win in last year's Super Bowl, PredictionMachine.com has Denver beating the defending champions this time around ... something most football fans will find puzzling. According to the simulations, the Denver Broncos win this season's Super Bowl 52.9 percent of the time, this time avenging the Seahawks by a 24-23 score.


In the simulations, the Broncos beat the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game and in an intriguing twist, the "Predictalator" has the New Orleans Saints as the top seed in the NFC, although they fall to the Seahawks a game before the Super Bowl.


Some of the other surprises from the simulations are that the Houston Texans, the worst team in the league last year, are predicted to be a playoff team. Also, the NFC East has two playoff teams in the simulation (Hint: Tony Romo is not the quarterback of either one of the playoff teams; the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles are postseason-bound according to the computer).


The "Predictalator" simulated the NFL season utilizing a variety of rankings and tabulations. All this so you don't have to watch the season, right?


Or, maybe you should still watch.


This wouldn't be the first time that PredictionMachine.com has had a Rocky Mountain high. Last year, the site gave the Broncos a 14.6 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl, tops in the AFC. In the NFC, the San Francisco 49ers were tops in the conference and the league as a whole with 20.1 percent chance of winning everything. Things didn't go according to simulations apparently.


Hats off and good stuff as always from PredictionMachine.com and definitely worth wondering if the Broncos will be a better team this season than the Seahawks, especially after their dud at MetLife Stadium in the Super Bowl. But what we really want to know is the over/under on how many smiles Bill Belichick has this year. Get to it "Predictalator"!



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Kristian R. Dyer writes for Metro New York and is a contributor to Yahoo Sports. Follow him on Twitter @KristianRDyer



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